After my previous post, Drugmonkey commented on the number of K99 awards expected from each IC based on its share of the overall NIH budget. I examined the number of new K99 awards for each IC for fiscal years 2007-2013. There have been only relatively modest variation from year to year for each IC. Moreover, the number of K99 awards for each IC is approximately proportional to its share of the overall NIH budget with a few notable exceptions. This is shown below:
This plot shows the expected number of awards based on a total of 190 awards across NIH versus the average number of awards per year for each IC. The number of awards for most ICs is relatively close to that expected. The biggest outlier by far is NIAID where 30 awards per year are expected, but the actual average number of awards is approximately 6. For NCI, the numbers of awards per year expected is 33 and the average is 27. In the other direction, the number of awards expected is 20 but the average number of awards is 29.